SurveyUSA for Roll Call (8/22-24, likely voters):
Betsy Markey (D): 50
Marilyn Musgrave (R-in): 43
(MoE: ±4.0%)
Stunning numbers for Betsy Markey, and they confirm an internal poll from earlier this year that showed Musgrave trailing by the same margin: 43-36.
What’s more, Musgrave’s personal popularity, despite her recent efforts to present a more moderate image. A full 51% of voters view her unfavorably, while only 31% have a favorable opinion of her.
On the presidential level, it looks like the R+8.5 district is undergoing a sea change: McCain only leads Obama by 48-46 here, which is an extremely far cry from the 58-41 drubbing that Bush delivered to Kerry in the district in 2004.
Once again, SUSA takes the pulse of the energy debate, and asks voters if they would cast their ballots for a candidate advocating increased offshore drilling or one who promotes alternative sources of energy. Despite all the assumptions of drilling being the popular choice, once again, the candidate emphasizing alternative energy leads by a 58-34 margin.
SSP currently rates this race as Lean Republican, but I think a rating change is due in short order.
Markey is one of my favorite candidates and I love the ads being put out by the Wildlife group, some of the best ones this cycle. They really know how to win races once they pick them.
If we take this seat, it will be one of the biggest victories in November, going from a very conservative repub to a progressive in what was a solid Republican district.
McCain (R) 48%
Obama (D) 46%
That’s crazy. Is that district really trending our way THAT fast?
Please correct diary title to match.
Barney Frank must be swilling his Cosmo in delight this afternoon!
No seriously, TABOR killed the Republican party in Colorado for a good while…
This is such an amazing news. I honestly could tear up. Perhaps the GOP will learn that gay bashing, even as much as they all seem to enjoy it, will not keep winning you elections forever.
As someone who is gay, HELL YEAH! Omg, I bet Musgrave just shit her pants when she saw this. Independent SurveyUSA who everyone seems to really rely on, she really probably just shat her pants. Oh excellent.